Conf = Patriot
Nickname = PA Mountain H Coach = wks Will ScuddGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.8627930 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Rutgers B1G ( 7- 7, 91.9) 12-14 210 A Fairfield CAA ( 8- 7, 89.4) 8- 7 217 A Cornell Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.4) 13-17 226 N Dartmouth Ivy ( 3-10, 88.8) 11- 6 302 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.2) 8-14 309 H Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.6) 12-10 316 A Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 12-18 323 H Bucknell Patriot ( 4-10, 88.7) 9- 8 329 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.2) 10-12 402 A Princeton Ivy (11- 5, 95.8) 10-12 406 H Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 2-11, 86.1) 9- 7 413 A Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 9- 7 420 H Boston University Patriot (10- 7, 93.1) 13-12 426 A Lafayette Patriot ( 6- 7, 89.3) 13-12 503 N Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.6) 12- 8 505 N Boston University Patriot (10- 7, 93.1) 11-10 512 A Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Rutgers 12-14 -2 0 -1.28 210 A Fairfield 8- 7 1 1 -0.72 217 A Cornell 13-17 -4 -4 0.25 226 N Dartmouth 11- 6 5 3 1.96 302 H Villanova 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.33 309 H Navy 12-10 2 0 1.01 316 A Army West Point 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.72 323 H Bucknell 9- 8 1 3 - -2.91 329 A Loyola (MD) 10-12 -2 -1 -0.93 402 A Princeton 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.63 406 H Holy Cross (MA) 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.45 413 A Colgate 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.80 420 H Boston University 13-12 1 0 1.49 426 A Lafayette 13-12 1 1 -0.83 503 N Navy 12- 8 4 0 + 3.71 505 N Boston University 11-10 1 -1 + 2.18 512 A Johns Hopkins 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Villanova 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.33 406 H Holy Cross (MA) 9- 7 2 6 -- -4.45 316 A Army West Point 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.72 323 H Bucknell 9- 8 1 3 - -2.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Princeton 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.63 413 A Colgate 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.80 503 N Navy 12- 8 4 0 + 3.71 505 N Boston University 11-10 1 -1 + 2.18 512 A Johns Hopkins 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.15
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.87 Power Rank................. 28 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.31 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 24 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5906 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 32 RPI Rating............... .5462 RPI Rank................... 22 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 49 Selection sum ........... 84 Selection Rank ............ 27 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 32 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 30 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7